THE STATE OF FOOD AND AGRICULTURE (SOFA) 1992


SPECIAL CHAPTER
MARINE FISHERIES AND THE LAW OF THE SEA: A DECADE OF CHANGE
  1. Introduction
  2. The Decade's Development
  3. Current and Future Issues
  4. Appendix 1
  5. Appendix 2

  6. List of Boxes

I. Introduction

Ten years ago, the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea was signed, marking the end of an era of freedom of the seas. For fisheries, however, the era of freedom had ended de facto during the 1970s when a majority of coastal states claimed jurisdiction over the resources within the Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZs) i.e. waters within 200 nautical miles from their shores. The formal passing of the freedom of the seas provided the basis for the special chapter, Marine fisheries in the new era of national jurisdiction, in the State of Food and Agriculture 1980. As noted in that chapter: "The opportunity exists, as never before, for the rational exploitation of marine fisheries. Realization of the opportunity, however, will require major adjustments to the redistribution of benefits from the seas' wealth and improvements in the competence of the coastal states to exercise their newly acquired authority. The 1980s provide the threshold for a new era in the enjoyment of the oceans' wealth in fisheries."

Twelve years have passed since this was written and ten since the signing of the UN convention. It is an appropriate time to take stock of the changes that have occurred in marine fisheries and examine the adjustments that have been made and the challenges that have been met.

This chapter attempts to do just that.

In general, the redistribution of the seas' wealth has proceeded as anticipated, with a few coastal states gaining large benefits and a few distant-water fishing states incurring large losses. Several developments were not foreseen, however. Most notable are the continued investment in large-scale fishing vessels capable of fishing great distances from port, and the significant growth in fishing effort on the high seas beyond the 200-mile limits.

With regard to the improvements in the competence of nations to exercise their newly gained authority, developments in 1980s have proceeded more slowly than anticipated. Coastal states with resources of interest to foreign countries have generally made considerable gains in managing their resources and extracting benefits from the foreign users. But improved management of domestic fisheries still has a long way to go. The task is difficult and many states are reluctant to take the necessary steps to assign and allocate exclusive use rights among their own fishermen.

In addition, environmental issues have become increasingly significant during the decade, posing difficult challenges. The major problems lie in the coastal zones where disparate uses from diverse sources are in conflict and where fisheries receive the brunt of the damage. The problems are particularly urgent for small-scale fishing communities in developing countries.

In general, the 1980s might be considered a period of adjustment to the dramatic changes that occurred in the law of the sea during the 1970s and as well as a period of transition to the eventual achievement of substantial benefits from the ocean's fisheries. Many tasks have to be completed before those benefits can be fully realized, but the size of the rewards justifies a significant increase in the world community's concern for the problems of fisheries management. See Box 1


Box 1
From Freedom of the Seas to National Jurisdiction
The era of Freedom of the seas was initiated in the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries when the struggles to dominate the oceans and profitable trade routes were resolved by a mutual accommodation of interests. Fisheries provided one of the important arguments used to advance the principle of the freedom of the seas. Hugo Grotius, in his treatise, Mare Liberum (1608) made two points: first, that fishery resources were so abundant that no benefits would accrue to exclusive jurisdiction; and second, that the resources were so extensive that national jurisdiction could not be effectively defended. Although the first point was somewhat specious, Grotius' arguments ultimately prevailed and the freedom of fishing became a major element in the freedom of the seas.

Under the principle, the fishermen of all countries had free and open access to the resources beyond the relatively narrow limits of coastal state jurisdiction; generally within three to twelve nautical miles from shore. The fishermen of Western Europe were the initial beneficiaries. When the herring stocks of the North Sea declined, fishermen moved to the Grand Banks off Newfoundland. As these stocks came under pressure, the fishermen moved to the Grand Banks off Newfoundland. As these stocks came under pressure, they moved south to the banks off New England, following the advice of Captain John Smith who in 1610, reported that the Grand Banks are "so overlaide with fishers as the fishing decayeth and many are constrained to return with a small fraught".

And so the pattern was set. With declining catches per vessel in the traditional grounds, the fishermen either moved to new areas or adopted more intensive techniques. All that was required was the capital to invest in larger and more sophisticated vessels and gear. In more recent years, the pace of exploration and exploitation was expedited by the development of automotive power, synthetic fibres nets and refrigeration equipment.

Until the Second World War, the distant-water fishing fleets came mostly from Western Europe and Japan. They were followed by the fleets of the former USSR, countries of Eastern Europe and a few developing countries, most notably Cuba, Ghana, the Republic of Korea and Taiwan, Province of China. United States fishermen extended their activities into the Antarctic for whales during the 1800s and, more recently, into the South Pacific for tuna.

During this era, the seas' wealth in fisheries was essentially appropriated by a few states, mostly the developed maritime countries which had the capital and the technology to take advantage of the opportunities offered by open access to the natural resources. Developing countries generally gained little and, in some cases, were harmed by foreign fleets decimating the fish stocks off their coasts. Even where there was no damage, the growing presence of large foreign fishing vessels off their coasts made them increasingly aware of the inequitable distribution of the wealth of the seas.

The end of the era was presaged in 1947 when Chile and Peru announced claims of extended jurisdiction up to 200 miles from their coasts. They were joined by Ecuador in 1952. The claims, partially a response to the appearance of United States tuna fleets off their coasts, remained largely a local matter between these states and the United States until 1958, when the issue of extent of jurisdiction was raised at the first UN Conference on the Law of the Sea. However, neither this Conference nor the second one in 1960 resolved the issue, although a majority of states at that time favoured narrow limits of control.

During the 1960s and 1970s, positions changed dramatically. It became much more evident that the supplies of fish stocks were limited and that depletion was becoming more prevalent. Attempts to manage resources through international bodies were proving to be largely ineffective. Many coastal states, developed and developing, felt increasingly threatened by the large fleets of the distant-water states off their coasts. Simultaneously, the issue of control over the mineral resources in the deep ocean beds raised the demands of developing states for a more equitable distribution of ocean wealth.

In 1967, the UN General Assembly established a Committee on the Peaceful Uses of the Sea-bed and Ocean Floor beyond the Limits of National Jurisdiction. The mandate of the Committee expanded rapidly to cover all uses and resources of the sea, including fisheries. Interest in the work of the Committee led to a rapid increase in membership and, eventually, to the convening of the Third UN Conference on the Law of the Sea in 1973.

Concurrently, more and more states unilaterally extended their jurisdiction over fishery resources so that, by the mid- 1970s, a majority of coastal states had asserted claims out to 200 nautical miles. The choice of 200 nautical miles as a limit for fisheries jurisdiction has no relevance to the habits of fish. Some species (e.g. oysters and clams) are sedentary while others (e.g. tuna and salmon) swim vast distances and are found both inside and outside 200-mile limits. There is also no direct connection between the size of fisheries zones and the wealth of their resources. The sea is not a vast bouillabaisse containing uniformly distributed treats, but an ocean of disparity with areas as barren as the Sahara and othors as fertile as a rain forest. Among the latter are the continental shelves which are rich in demersal stocks (groundfish, such as cod and haddock) and the upwelling currents, inhabited by pelagic species (those feeding on the surface, such as sardines and anchoveta). Temperate zone waters tend to contain large populations of relatively few individual species, while tropical waters have small populations of a large number of species. On the open ocean, the stocks are diffused. Some high sea species have schooling habits but require high search costs for their location. Others seldom aggregate and can only be caught using gear that filters great quantities of water.

The establishment of 200-mile Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZs) constitutes an accident of geography and has only limited relevance to the achievement of a more equitable distribution of wealth. Its most important function has been to provide coastal states with the authority to manage the resources within these zones.



II. The Decade's Development

Fishery Resources
Marine catch and changes in production patterns

World marine fisheries production has increased almost fivefold over the past 40 years, rising from around 18 million tonnes to more than 86 million tonnes by 1989. Estimates for 1990 indicate a decline to 83 million tonnes but, at the trend rate of the past 20 years, the total catch would exceed 100 million tonnes by the year 2000.

Prior to 1970, the world catch of marine fish rose at the rapid rate of 6.0 percent per year, but the collapse from 12 to 2 million metric tons in Peruvian anchoveta fishing between 1970 and 1973 reduced the total catch of all marine species and marked a major break in the growth rate. Over the ensuing two decades, global marine catch rose at only 2.3 percent per year (Fig. 1).

Institutional, environmental, socio-economic, biological and technological factors were all influencing this pattern of expansion in world fisheries during this initial decade of EEZ. For example, technological advances, including the introduction of on-board freezing and processing, enabled fishing fleets to exploit fish stocks far away from home ports. The advent of synthetic twines and the mechanization of hauling gear led to the design of bigger and more durable nets while electronic fish detection and navigational aids increased the efficiency of the deployment of both fishing vessels and gear.

Five species accounted for most of the production increase during the 1980s. The catch of Alaska pollack, Chilean jack mackerel, Peruvian anchoveta, Japanese pilchard and South American pilchard increased from 12 million tonnes in 1980 to 25 million in 1989 (Fig. 2). The Japanese and South American pilchard share with the Peruvian anchoveta the characteristic of widely fluctuating yields as a result of natural variability. These stocks are expected to decrease in the future. Indeed, Japan's catch of Japanese pilchard dropped from 4.49 million tonnes in 1988 to 3.68 tonnes in 1990.

These are also five relatively low-valued species. Alaska pollack has an average unit value of about one-third that of all other species. The average unit values of the other four species are about 10 percent of the overall average value while, together, the five species only contributed about 6 percent of total value of production in 1989. Thus the increase in the total catch of these five species makes a relatively low economic contribution to the growth in output.

Catch has also increased for higher-value species which are facing increased demand. The catch of all tuna increased fairly steadily during the past two decades, adding one million tonnes to the total annual catch between 1980 and 1989. The catch of skipjack and yellowfin tuna have increased at a rate of 5.4 percent and 4.5 percent per year, respectively, since 1970.

Skipjack stocks throughout the world are apparently abundant and have high rates of reproduction, which may allow significant increases in the global catch. Similar increases are less likely for yellowfin tuna and unlikely for the other major market species (albacore, northern and southern bluefin and bigeye). There have, however, been recent increases in the catch of albacore, particularly by Taiwan, Province of China, whose catch rose from an average level of about 60 000 tonnes during the period 1977 - 1985 to almost 140 000 tonnes in 1989. This was a result, at least in part, of the expanded use of large drift nets, a fishing technology capable of filtering great quantities of water on the high seas.

Shrimp are another group of species contributing to the increase in total marine catch. Total catch from all sources (marine and inland, capture and culture) rose from 1.1 million tonnes in 1970 to 1.7 million in 1980 and 2.4 million in 1989. The most dramatic increase occurred in China where total shrimp production rose fivefold over the two decades to reach more than 500 000 tonnes, or about 20 percent of total world output. In 1989, aquaculture accounted for about one-third of Chinese shrimp production. World production of shrimp by aquaculture in both fresh and marine water grew rapidly, reaching a total of 509 000 tonnes in 1989 (Fig. 3).

Salmon production was about 400 000 tonnes during the 1970s, reaching 600 000 tonnes in 1980 and rising to more than 1 million tonnes in 1989. This was a result of both the recovery of stocks through more effective conservation measures and production through aquaculture. Salmon production by aquaculture mainly began in Norway in 1980, with several other countries quickly following suit. Norway currently accounts for more than 25 percent of total salmon production. Prices of salmon have declined markedly in response to increased production from both capture and culture fisheries (Fig. 4).

The significant overall increase in the global marine catch during the 1980s obscures a number of features that give cause for concern. First, there is little reason to believe that global catch can continue to expand, except for increases that might occur through more effective management of stocks. The stocks that have accounted to a large extent for the recent growth are the small shoaling pelagics, such as sardines, pilchards and anchovies. These stocks are subject to wide fluctuations in biomass. Some of them are at the peak of their cycles and can be expected to decline in the future although, since others may increase to take their place, the aggregate catch is not likely to change.

Moreover, these species are mostly used for the production of fish-meal and have a low value, thus making a relatively small contribution to the global economy.

An aspect raising more concern is that of the continued overfishing of many individual stocks of fish. Although there are instances of stock rehabilitation through the adoption of conservation measures, these are relatively scarce in most areas of the world. The more general situation is one of depletion. The catch of four important species of groundfish (Atlantic cod, Cape hake, haddock, and silver hake) dropped from 5 million tonnes in 1970 to 2.6 million in 1989 (Fig. 5). Because of overfishing, there have been signficant drops in catches of Atlantic redfishes, Pacific Ocean perch, yellow croaker, atka mackerel, Atlantic herring and Atlantic mackerel.

Most shrimp stocks throughout the world have been fished beyond the point of maximum sustainable yield (MSY). In many cases, the small size of the individuals harvested is not only leading to a lower total catch but also to considerable economic losses because of the lower prices received. In addition, the shrimp trawlers often take large quantities of trash fish, frequently account for up to 90 percent of their hauls. Some of the fish taken in these hauls are juveniles of species that would be of high value if landed as adults.

The depletion of various stocks of fish has occurred in virtually all coastal states throughout the world. Indeed, as discussed below, this is an inevitable outcome unless appropriate controls are adopted.


Catch by major fishing areas

Three types of areas attract distant-water fleets: (i) areas of upwellings where deep, cold ocean waters rise to the surface, bringing with them abundant nutrients; (ii) areas of extensive continental shelves (e.g. northeastern America); and (iii) areas where tuna stocks may be found. Most of the tropical zones (e.g. the Indian Ocean, the South China Sea, Caribbean Sea) are of lesser interest to the distant- water states because of the large diversity of species and relatively small size of individual stocks. The relative importance of the various fishing areas is shown in Fig. 6.

Rich areas of upwellings which have attracted the distant-water fleets are found in the eastern central Atlantic (off northwestern Africa), the southeast Atlantic and the southeast Pacific. In the eastern central Atlantic, the catch by developing coastal states has shown a consistent increase over the two decades. However, much of this catch has been taken under joint ventures with foreign fishermen who have avoided access negotiations and costs by adopting coastal state flags.

The southeast Atlantic contains similar stocks of shoaling pelagic species in addition to large quantities of demersal stocks of Cape hake. The coastal state catch has declined over the past two decades. A large portion of this region is off the coast of Namibia which did not claim extended jurisdiction until it acquired independence in 1990. This region has been marked by considerable overfishing of the Cape hake and pilchard stocks.

Until the mid-1970s, Peru dominated the southeast Pacific region. The Chilean catch then took off, growing from 1 million to almost 7 million tonnes by 1989. The former USSR entered the area significantly in 1979.

The coastal state catch is most significant in the southeast Pacific. In the eastern central and southeast Atlantic, the coastal state catch declined in the 1970s and increased in the 1980s. The increase was only moderate, however, and to some extent a result of the transfer of flags from the developed states.

The major areas of large continental shelves of interest to the distant-water states include the northwest and southwest Atlantic and the northeast Pacific all of which experienced dramatic changes. In the northwest Atlantic, although total catch in this region has declined, the catch of the coastal states of Canada and the United States has increased since the 1970s.

In some regards, on the west coast of North America, the developments are similar to those on the east coast. To a large extent, the distant-water states have been replaced (in the catching sector) by the coastal states, particularly the United States. Here, however, there was a strong increase in the total catch during the 1980s, mostly made up of Alaska pollack. The former USSR's fleet virtually ended fishing operations by 1980, while the Japanese fleet continued into the 1980s, although with ever-decreasing catch levels. The former USSR and Japanese fishery activities remained although in a different form. The former USSR, until recently, operated joint ventures under which its processing vessels purchased fish caught by its United States partners, while the Japanese have invested in joint ventures as well as in shore processing facilities.

In the southwest Atlantic, an opposite development is taking place. In this region, the coastal states dominated the fisheries during the 1970s. However, from about the middle of that decade, distant-water states entered the area and increased their catch from a negligible amount to 1 million tonnes, amounting to over 40 percent of the region's total catch. Over two-thirds of this distant-water catch is of newly-discovered squid stocks and is taken by several distant- water states. The phenomenal increase in squid catches during the mid-1980s, levelled off in the last three years as maximum limits were reached and controls were established over the catch.

Changes have occurred in other regions as well although not generally of the same significance with regard to distribution patterns between distant-water and coastal states.


Developments among regions and main fishing countries

Globally, developing countries have been increasing their marine catch (since the collapse of the Peruvian anchoveta fisheries in 1972) at a considerably faster rate than the developed countries (Fig. 7). The developing countries, which accounted for 27 percent of the world catch in 1950, now account for more than half the total. Unlike fisheries in the industrialized countries, their fisheries are dominated by small-scale or artisanal producers. Artisanal fisheries, typically using small boats and canoes, account for more than 25 percent of the world catch. They are the source of more than 40 percent of the fish used for human consumption.

Among the 20 countries with the largest catch during the two decades, 9 are developed and 11 are developing. Footnote 1 In each case, there are three states with significantly larger catches than the others: Peru, China and Chile; and Japan, the former USSR and the United States.

With the significant exceptions of the Republic of Korea and Taiwan, Province of China, the catch of the developing countries is almost entirely within their EEZs. Thailand initially fished heavily in the zones of other southeast Asian states but now does so only slightly. China, on the other hand, began fishing in the eastern central Atlantic in 1985 and in the northeast Pacific in 1986, although the amounts caught are still small.

China's catch in the northwest Pacific has grown rapidly, particularly since 1985 when its total catch rose from 3.9 million to 6.4 million tonnes. This resulted, at least to some extent, from the relaxation of domestic price controls and the consequent incentive to deploy excess fishing capacity from national waters.

The Republic of Korea and Taiwan, Province of China take the greatest proportion of their catch in the northwest Pacific. Both, however, have increasingly extended their efforts into distant waters, reaching 20 and 25 percent, respectively, of their total marine catch.

Most of the Republic of Korea's northeast Pacific catch, which peaked in 1986 is Alaska pollack. Both states have recently been taking large quantities of squid in the southwest Atlantic and tuna in the eastern and western central Pacific.

Among the developed countries, Japan maintains the lead, but only because of the extremely large increase in its pilchard catch which currently makes up 37 percent of the country's total marine catch. Japan's catch in distant waters has shifted significantly among the different regions over the past two decades, particularly since 1980. There was an extremely large decline in catches off the Pacific coast of North America but some increases occurred in other areas of the Pacific and the southwest Atlantic.

In terms of total tonnage, the former USSR continued to be the largest distant-water fishing country through 1989. Preliminary estimates indicate a decline in its total marine catch of about one million tonnes in 1990 and most analysts expect a continuing decline (see Box 2 - The likely decline of the former USSR fleet ).

Similar patterns of decline have occurred for the East European countries. Their catches off North America declined significantly (although there were two periods of relatively high catches in the early and mid-1980s). In other regions, as in the case of the former USSR, there were large variations with significant increases in the South Atlantic and northwest Pacific and declines in the eastern central Atlantic and northeast Atlantic. The mobility of the East European fleet is also indicated in the large changes in the composition of the catch.

It is apparent that the US and Canada have taken advantage of the EEZs and significantly increased their proportion of the catches taken off their east and west coasts. On the east coast, although their share of the total rose from about 30 percent to about 40 percent each, there was only a moderate increase in absolute terms. In the Canadian part of the region, conservation controls to allow the rehabilitation of overfished stocks explain the moderate increase in catch.

On the west coast, the combined catch of the United States and Canada rose from about 20 percent of the total to more than 90 percent and there was a sixfold increase in tonnage, from 500 000 to 3 million tonnes, of which the United States accounted for about 90 percent. The United States also takes an additional one million tonnes from the western central Atlantic and smaller amounts from the east and western central Pacific.

For the United States, gains on the west coast accounted almost entirely for the doubling of its marine catch during the two decades. Virtually all of this increase occurred from 1980 onwards. Although the major gain was in Alaska pollack, an almost equivalent increase occurred in catches of various "whitefish" (cod, hake, halibut, sole).

Spain remains one of the largest distant-water fishing nations. The proportion of its total marine catch taken outside of the northeastern Atlantic and the Mediterranean remains at about 50 percent. During the 1970s, the significant declines in catches from the northwest Atlantic were made up by increases from the eastern central Atlantic. In the southeast Atlantic, large catches of Cape hakes were maintained throughout the two decades but were curtailed in 1990 and 1991 by Namibia's acquisition of independence and its extension of jurisdiction and controls over foreign fishing. This should allow the over-exploited stocks of Cape hake to recover.

In general, distant-water fishing declined during the 1970s but increased during the 1980s. Changes in catches by the major distant- water states are shown in Fig. 8. Although the Japanese non-local catch has diminished, catches by the other states either remained level or increased, particularly during the 1980s. This was achieved by significant shifts in areas of activity, i.e. moving to zones of developing coastal states where they could acquire access rights or to areas beyond national jurisdiction. Their major targets have become various species of tuna; cephalopods, particularly squid; and certain species that can be caught in large quantities at low cost.



Box 2
The likely decline of the former USSR fleet
Although the political breakup of the former USSR is bound to have major consequences for fisheries, a much more significant development for the sector is the departure from a centrally planned economy. It is not yet clear which of the newly independent states will acquire the fishing vessels. Although the Russian Federation may maintain the lion's share of around 80 percent, because of its ports in Murmansk, Kaliningrad and Vladivostok, other states have placed their flags on vessels based in the Baltic and Black Seas. In all cases, however, it is the change in the economic regime that will dominate developments in the sector. Some speculation regarding its likely effects is worthwhile because of the significance of these states' catches for particular regions.

The decision to expand the former USSR fishing fleet during the 1960s was based on a resource allocation methodology that was very different from an allocation system based on market prices. In the former USSR, policymakers compared the quantities of fish protein that could be obtained per unit of labour and capital with the quantities of protein that could be obtained from meat. The analysis concluded that the production of fish would use about half as much capital investment, one-third of the production costs and one-quarter of the labour requirements compared with those required for the production of an equivalent amount of meat.

Over time, this decision process led to an increasingly uneconomical fishing sector. By 1989, estimates indicated that operating expenses were around $10 billion to $13 billion per year. The marine catch of 10 million tonnes, over half of which is composed of low-value pelagic species, would indicate revenues of perhaps $5 billion at the most. Thus, the annual operating deficit would amount to $5 billion to $8 billion, which would be considerably greater with the inclusion of capital costs. Although the fleets of many other countries are also operating with large deficits, their economies (for better or worse) can sustain high subsidies.

The demand for fish as a source of animal protein is high in the former USSR. Subsidies may continue, although most likely at a greatly diminished rate. It is likely that the subsidies will go to the smaller vessels operating in relatively near shore waters and that the costly, high fuel-consuming distant-water vessels will largely disappear. Since there are few opportunities to increase catches in the Baltic Sea, Black Sea and the Mediterranean, any future effort will probably focus on the northern part of the North Sea and the northwest Pacific. Some distant-water fishing may continue to take place through joint ventures with developing countries.

A large part of the decline is likely to take place in three areas: the east central and southeast Atlantic and the southeast Pacific, where the USSR catch in 1989 amounted to about 3 million tonnes. In the eastern central Atlantic, the coastal states (particularly Morocco) should benefit to some extent by the diminution of the former USSR fleet. Since most of the stocks are currently fully exploited, the gains would come in the form of increased catches per unit of effort. Any attempts by the coastal states to expand their capacity in order to replace that of the former USSR, should proceed with extreme caution in view of the low prices of the species and wide variability in size of the stocks.

Thus, in the southeast Atlantic, the stocks of horse mackerel are in relatively good shape but the replacement of the former USSR fleet by domestic vessels is likely to be a slow process because of market constraints. Increases by the Republic of South Africa and, eventually, Namibia are possible. For the southeast Pacific, Chile has rapidly expanded its catch of the jack mackerel and could probably replace the former USSR catch in the next few years.

Overall, assuming a 75 percent decline in the former USSR catch in distant-water areas, a total drop in the catch from 10 million to 7 million tonnes could be expected. Pressures to increase catch in local waters will be intense but the opportunities to do so, particularly for Alaska pollack, are limited. Therefore a significant decline in the availability of animal protein to the former USSR and other countries, particularly in West Africa, is likely to occur. The likely increase in prices for small pelagic species could induce a more rapid development of coastal fisheries in West Africa.

Note: See S. V. Mikhailov. 1962. "On the comparative efficiency of production of some products of the land and sea". Okeanologiia 2(3): 385-392. Translated by W. G. Van Campen, Bureau of Commercial Fisheries, United States Department of the Interior. Paper prepared "in connection with a discussion of decisions on the 22nd Congress of the CPSU".



Fish resources distribution during the 1980s

Although the extension of national jurisdiction was critically important for all coastal states in that it provided them with the exclusive right to manage the resources within their zones, it had a limited effect on the distribution of the seas' wealth because of the relatively few countries affected. Although some observers considered that the extension of jurisdiction would lead to a major redistribution of the seas' wealth in fisheries, the results have been mixed. Fishery resources are of considerable local importance to a large number of countries, but more than 80 percent of the global catch is taken by 20 countries (Fig. 9). In 1989, two states alone (Japan and the USSR) took 25 percent of the total marine catch; the next four countries took 30 percent; and the following 14 another 25 percent. The remaining coastal states shared in less than 20 percent of the total marine catch.

In the Special Chapter of the State of Food and Agriculture 1980 it was noted that potential gains would accrue to the relatively few states whose zones contained large or valuable resources that attracted the vessels of the distant-water fleets; and to a number of coastal states whose zones contain tuna stocks (mostly the South Pacific island states). Among the dozen coastal states that stood to gain large resources by the extension of jurisdiction the United States emerged as the single largest gainer (although all coastal states achieved gains in terms of management authority). Furthermore, for those states that have acquired jurisdiction over large fish stocks, the gains varied greatly according to the value of the species.

Whatever the impact of the establishment of EEZs, however, changes in the distribution of the sea's wealth in fisheries cannot be considered solely in terms of quantities of catch. As discussed below, the country's benefits or losses should be measured in terms of the net profit to the national economy.

For several developing countries, however, the extension of jurisdiction did represent significant gains in terms of economic revenues and other benefits extracted from the distant-water states. For instance, under an agreement with the EEC, Morocco received about $ 80 million per year for three years for allowing Spanish vessels to fish in its EEZ. Footnote 2 Payments to African countries for 1991 include $20 million to Senegal, $12.9 million to Mauritania and $12 million to Angola. The South Pacific states have received $60 million from the United States to allow that country's vessels to fish for tuna within the region for a five-year period. However, the great majority of developing countries have not received financial payments for access to their EEZs since the resources within their zones have been of little interest to the distant-water states.

Similar to two decades ago, only a few countries are currently engaged in extensive distant-water fishing. In 1970, six states--the USSR, Japan, Spain, Poland, Portugal and the Federal Republic of Germany--took over 85 percent of the total catch by states in FAO statistical areas outside their own. Footnote 3 In 1989, the six largest distant-water fishing states took almost 90 percent of the total non-local catch. They were the same states, except that the Republic of Korea and Taiwan, Province of China replaced Portugal and the Federal Republic of Germany. The USSR, Japan and Spain alone accounted for three-fourths of the total in both periods. Total non- local catch by all states rose from 7.5 to 9 million tonnes from 1970 to 1990, but dropped as a percentage of global marine catch from 13 to 11 percent. There have been, however, mixed effects among the major states and a generalized increase in the costs of distant-water fishing.

For Japan, retrenchment of distant-water fishing began to take place prior to the extension of jurisdiction, primarily in response to rising labour and fuel costs.Instead, joint ventures were formed with the processing sectors of other countries. In addition, as a result of extensions in jurisidction, the Japanese have reduced the numbers of vessels authorized to fish in order to maintain catches per vessel. In the North Pacific, for example, the number of large mother ships and trawlers dropped from about 260 to 100 between 1983 and 1987 while catch per vessel rose from 4 600 to more than 9 000 tonnes in order to allow for increased operational costs. Footnote 4

For the USSR, Poland and other East European countries, the extensions meant the loss of free access to a large quantity of stocks. This forced these countries either to negotiate financial arrangements with coastal states or to move to under-exploited stocks on the high seas, such as Chilean jack mackerel and Antarctic krill. While the extension of jurisdiction added to their fishing costs, the major problem they now face is a big reduction in financial resources to pay the subsidies that were necessary to support their distant- water operations. Romania has scrapped 20 of its 46 distant-water trawlers while Bulgaria has scrapped 5 out of 15.

The distant-water catches of Spain and France have not changed significantly. Spain's catch in non-local areas in 1989 was only 15 percent less than that of 1970. The catch by French vessels dropped during the 1970s but increased during the 1980s, the net result being an overall increase of 19 percent for the two decades. A large part of this increase was a result of the expansion in tuna catch in the western Indian Ocean. For both of these countries, the costs of acquiring access to foreign (mostly African) zones are, to a large extent, borne by the EEC which negotiates agreements on their behalf. Among the other European states, Italy's non-local catches did not change significantly during the two decades, while those of both the Federal Republic of Germany and Norway declined sharply from about 200 000 tonnes to about 10 000 tonnes, and those of Portugal were halved from 200 000 to 100 000 tonnes.

With its small coastline, the Federal Republic of Germany, was particularly hard hit by the extension of jurisdiction. Domestic production as a share of domestic consumption fell from 77 percent in 1970 to 43 percent in 1980 and to 28 percent in 1989. The tonnage of deep sea vessels with freezing and processing facilities fell from 117 000 Gross Registered Tonnage (GRT) in 1970 to only 21 000 GRT in 1990. This major structural adjustment was accomplished with government support for the retirement of vessels.


Coastal states

Losses in quantitative terms are not necessarily equivalent to losses in economic terms, not only because of differences in value of the species harvested but also because the open access condition that previously existed induced wasteful fishing practices. Where stocks have been fully fished, controls by coastal states that reduce the number of foreign fishing vessels can lead to increased average catches for those vessels that are allowed to remain in the fishery. For example, the cephalopod (squid, cuttlefish and octopus) fishery off Morocco has been so heavily overfished that a reduction in the number of vessels (and total costs) would allow the rehabilitation of stocks and, ultimately, higher total catches as well as revenues. This would lead to considerably higher catches per vessel that remained in the fishery. At the same time, an estimate $ 250 million per year in surplus profits could be extracted by Morocco in the form of fishing fees. Footnote 5 In essence, it is in the interest of both the coastal states and distant-water fishing fleets to reduce excess fishing capacity and thereby achieve greater economic efficiency.

The coastal states could levy user fees directly on the foreign vessel owners to obtain greater economic benefits. However, when the costs of access are not borne by the fishermen, but are paid by their governments (e.g. the EEC and the United States), distant-water fishermen have no incentive to discontinue overfishing the coastal state's stocks. If a coastal state negotiates access agreements that include the authorization of numbers of vessels, those who acquire licenses may receive higher catches per unit and obtain higher profits.

Much of the existing European distant-water fleet is the product of high subsidies together with increasing restrictions on overfished stocks in the domestic European waters. This has resulted in surplus fishing capacity and pressure for access to foreign zones. The problems facing these fleets may, therefore, result as much or, more, from the failure to achieve rational fisheries management than to the extension of national jurisdiction.


Fishing Costs and Revenues

Fishing costs and revenues

As referred to above, an assessment of the state of economic health of the industry cannot be confined to changes in physical outputs but might include an evaluation of costs and revenues. Such an evaluation is difficult to do, however, because of data limitations (see Box 3 - Fisheries data ). Nevertheless, the general perception that the industry is incurring massive deficits on a global basis underscores the need to begin attempts to quantify the scale of the problem.


Box 3
Fisheries data
Collecting fisheries data is extraordinarily difficult. Several special characteristics distinguish the task from that of collecting data on other natural resource industries. Fish in the sea are not readily countable both because of the opacity of the medium and their tendency to move.

Another basic problem is the sheer number of species and countries involved. FAO currently collects data on 995 species from 227 countries and administrative or political entities (including small islands such as Christmas and Norfolk Islands). Data are collected for catches in 30 statistical regions (inland and marine).

The information on catches is provided to FAO by individual countries, many of which are unable to devote the resources necessary to perform the task adequately. A large portion of many developing countries' catches is landed on isolated beaches along extensive coastlines. The coastline of the state of Kerala in India is only 600 km long (about 8 percent of the total Indian seaboard) but has 220 recognized landing places. Indonesia stretches over a distance of some 5 000 km and has more than 13 000 islands.

In addition to the difficulties of collecting catch data, there are also problems concerning the falsification of data, mostly, though not entirely, by fishermen of developed countries. Fishing operations often take place far out to sea, where they are not readily observable. Certain management measures, particularly those limiting the quantities of catch, induce fishermen to underreport their catch or take other measures to avoid compliance. The enforcement of such measures is extremely difficult. There are other situations where overreporting of catches has been known to take place in attempts to increase the importance of fisheries to the national economy.

Aside from the simple measuring of quantities of catch, there are also considerable difficulties in estimating revenues. Individual species vary widely in value, ranging from species used for fishmeal, at less than US $100 per tonne, to luxury species such as lobsters, at more than $10 000, or bluefin tuna for sashimi at $20 000 per tonne. Furthermore, for any particular species, prices vary with regard to size, quality, points of landing, season and even time of landing during the day. Many of these variations are a result of the high degree of perishability of most fish species. Accurate information on fish prices at points of landing is rare.

It is equally difficult to obtain accurate information on fishing costs. Simply in terms of numbers of fishing units, the problems are difficult. For example, in the state of Kerala, a detailed survey carried out in the early 1980s estimated about 30 000 fishing craft, mostly non-mechanized types, and about 3 000 mechanized gillnetters and trawlers. These included 22 different combinations of vessels and gear.

In addition to the large numbers involved, there are problems in obtaining costs of the various inputs. Estimates of capital costs are obscured by the informal credit markets in many developing countries and the high and diverse kinds of subsidies in developed countries. Labour costs are difficult to estimate because most fishermen are paid through a system under which total catch is divided into shares for the boat, the gear, operating costs and for crew members according to their position. The costs of fishing gear, supplies, insurance, fuel and maintenance can be obtained for the large scale vessels of developed countries, but are not readily available in most developing countries.

FAO, with the help of regional fisheries bodies, has made a considerable contribution in developing standardized reporting forms and providing these to states, often with training programmes. The Organization is the sole repository of information on global fisheries. However, its efforts have been primarily (though not entirely) focused on quantities of catch and only recently has it attempted to expand the acquisition of data on costs and revenues, which are vital for improving fisheries management.

FAO, however, must rely on individual states to provide the necessary data. Fisheries cost and price information is not a high priority for most states, at present, largely because the value of such information is not readily evident to administrators. In the absence of controls over access, very little can be done to improve the contribution of fisheries to national economies while the resources themselves have no marketable value. The demand for economic information is relatively low compared with the costs of supplying it.

However, where access controls are in place, demand increases. For example, in the northern Australian prawn fishery, managed by a limited entry programme, the fishermen themselves pay for information that tells them when to move from one area to another in order to focus their efforts on the larger and higher-priced prawns.

As in the case of catch data, FAO can play a useful role in providing advice and training on the collection of economic data. This, together with advice and training on improved fisheries management practices, will lead to greatly improved fisheries data. Current difficulties in the acquisition of fisheries

information, indicate that the estimates of catches, values and costs contained in this chapter must be considered as imprecise. However, for some of the more important points made, the estimates may be relatively reliable since they relate to a few countries taking a large percentage of the total production and value and involve a small number of species. Furthermore, although absolute figures may be rough estimates, the relative values and overall trends are considered satisfactory for evaluating major issues.

Note: FAO. 1982. Economics of artisanal and mechanized fisheries in Kerala. A study on costs and earnings of fishery units. FAO/UNDP Project in Small-Scale Fisheries Promotion in South Asia. Working Paper No. 34. Madras, FAO.


Fishing costs

Over the past several years, FAO has requested fishing countries to provide information on the size of their fishing fleets. Footnote 6 Most developed countries with large fishing fleets provide data showing the numbers of vessels by size class and by gear type. For these countries, the estimates are believed to be relatively accurate for vessels over 100 (GRT) in size, but much less so for smaller craft. For many developing countries, the task of acquiring the information is even more difficult and the estimates are less certain. Since there are a few significant gaps in the provision of information by developed countries (e.g. from the United States) as well as the general deficiencies in the data from developing countries, the totals are considered to underestimate the full fishing capacity. Therefore, the calculations of costs are likely to be quite conservative.

IV. Appendix 1 provides detailed information outlining how costs have been calculated for the construction of fishing vessels, replacement costs of the global fishing fleet, fuel costs, maintenance and repairs, insurance, supplies and gear, labour and capital.

The total annual operating costs of the global fishing fleet for 1989 is $92.2 billion, without including returns to capital or allowances for debt servicing. Annual routine maintenance is estimated to be $30 billion; insurance is $7 billion; supplies and gear $18.5 billion; and fuel costs $14 billion. IV. Appendix 1 provides two estimates for annual labour costs with a lower estimate of $22.7 billion.

Based on 1989 gross revenue of around $70 billion (See Table 1), the annual operating deficit is estimated to be approximately $22 billion without considering the cost of capital.

While some debt servicing costs can be at preferentially low rates, particularly those provided through international finance institutions and bilateral assistance, in most cases the debt servicing charges are at least equal to commercial rates and have been high. With a replacement value of $320 billion, the return to capital would at least have to equal opportunity costs, which, since there are limited opportunities for converting fishing vessels to other uses, may be lower than other maritime practices and can be set at 10 percent for this exercise. The resulting costs for the fleet would increase by $32 billion for a deficit of about $54 billion. In general, an allocation of 17 percent of revenues is the minimum required to cover debt servicing, depreciation and profit margins.


Revenue

Estimates of the gross revenues received by fishermen are also difficult to make. On the basis of scattered information, FAO has derived rough indicators of the average unit values in 1989 for the major species and species groups (Table 1). Where possible, estimates for individual species caught in large quantities are provided and they are believed to be relatively reliable (e.g. Atlantic cod, Alaska pollack, Norway pout, sandeel, capelin, Japanese pilchard). For several of the other groups, there is a degree of uniformity in the unit value of the dominant component species, (shrimp; salmon; tuna; squid, cuttlefish and octopus; lobster; and clams and other molluscs). Other groups, however, contain numerous species for which there are extreme differences in price (redfish, jack and mullet, mackerel). In these cases, an attempt has been made to provide a weighted average unit value.

An additional caution needs to be expressed. The estimates are based on 1989 information. Since prices vary from year to year, the degree to which they represent the present situation may be questioned. It is known, for example, that prices of salmon have declined significantly in the past two years because of the large culture production and abundant catches in the North Pacific. For the most part, however, the estimates presented are believed to be a reflection of relative values.

Given these words of warning, it is still possible to make a general point: a relatively few species account for a large proportion of the total value of the marine fisheries catch.

Table 2 shows that eight species and uniform species groups make up almost 50 percent of the total value. Moreover, with the exception of Alaska pollack, all of these have high unit values: more than $1 000 per tonne. These species are also the ones for which there is likely to be the largest amount of economic over-fishing, as discussed in the section fisheries management, below.

It is noteworthy that, on a global basis, the fishing industry shows evidence of high concentration. A few countries account for the greatest amount of catch and incur the largest proportion of costs while a few species make up the largest amount of value. There is no evidence, however, of a general concurrence of these concentrations. The vessels of the former USSR, for example, contributed greatly to the total fishing costs and harvested a large share of the total world catch, but their catch was mostly made up of low valued species (including Alaska pollack). Furthermore, the shrimp which is the most valued species group, are caught by a large number of countries, only a few of which have industrial fleets.

A comparison of estimated gross revenues of marine catch with the estimated costs of the global fishing fleet produces a remarkable conclusion. These calculations indicate that the annual operating costs of the global marine fishing fleet in 1989 were in the order of $22 billion greater than the total revenues, with no account being taken of capital costs. Although the calculations are tentative, they still suggest that global marine fisheries may be incurring very significant losses.

There are several reasons why this situation may be possible. One is the condition of open access which still persists on the high seas and, in most states, for the domestic fleets within national economic zones. Where this condition exists, fleet size (and capital investment) will tend to be greater than that required to take optimum yields from the stocks. Open access provides an incentive to over- capitalize (see Box 4 - The economic consequences of open access ).

Although with the extensions of limits foreign fishermen no longer have free and open access, overcapitalization may still be significant because access fees are generally paid by governments, rather than by the fishermen. Fishermen therefore have no incentive to reduce their fleets.

Overcapitalization is exacerbated by the ease of entry into fisheries and the difficulties of exit. When prices rise or stocks are abundant, new vessels are built. But when prices or yields drop and there are no alternative opportunities for the employment of the vessels, they remain in the fisheries, as long as they are able to cover their direct operating costs. When the owners can no longer cover such costs, they often sell their vessels to fishermen in other fisheries or in other countries. Footnote 7 The scrapping of fishing vessels tends to be delayed well beyond the time of scrapping in most other maritime industries; that is generally not until refit costs approach the costs of a new vessel. Footnote 8

This situation may be particularly significant for the large vessels of many distant-water fleets. These fleets have been sufficiently mobile to move from one ocean region to another as the abundance of the stocks has changed because of overfishing or natural variations. Yet such alternative opportunities for the employment of the fleets have become increasingly restricted as overfishing has become more pervasive.

Another reason for the large deficit is that the fishing industry, is heavily subsidized in many countries. It has already been noted that massive subsidies supported the former USSR fleet as well as fleets of East European countries. These subsidies account for only a portion of the total deficit when capital costs are included, however. In Japan, the Japan Fisheries Association noted that "The current credit balance extended to fisheries from both the commercial and government sectors is about $19 billion." Footnote 9 It also stated that "in order to support business entities in financial difficulties, the government financing system will assume their liabilities. The amount of liability taken over by the government has been substantial in recent years due to the severe economic status of the fisheries industry."

EEC fisheries also receive substantial support. Between 1983 and 1990, EEC support rose from $80 million to $580 million, about 20 percent of which was for the construction of new vessels and modernization of old ones (Fig. 10). This amount does not include substantial subsidies provided by the national governments. Elsewhere in Europe, Norway also provides significant fisheries support which amounted to about $150 million per year during the second half of the 1980s. Footnote 10

Fisheries are directly or indirectly subsidized in a variety of ways. Traditional kinds of subsidy are: import restrictions and tariffs (including limits on landings of foreign vessels), export support, price control systems, fuel subsidies; and low cost loans or outright grants for the construction of vessels or the purchase of gear, the construction of ports, marketing facilities and other infrastructure.

In addition, there are fishery-specific subsidies such as the payments made by governments to coastal states for access to their zones and the waiving of payments by domestic fishermen for access to their national zones. Free access to a natural resource constitutes a subsidy to the users since no payments are being made for the resource. Under a system of controlled access, economic rents are captured by the government through taxes or license fees.

The reasons for granting such subsidies are as manifold as the types of support schemes. In many cases financial help is given to the fishing sector - and less frequently to the post-harvest sector - for social reasons, for example to sustain employment in sometimes sparsely inhabited coastal districts. Subsidies might also be given for general policy reasons since the competing agricultural sector enjoys similar support on a large scale. In other cases, particularly in the former centralized economies in Eastern Europe, food policies were designed to ensure an adequate supply of fish to the population, and fish was calculated to be cheaper than other animal protein if produced domestically. Even larger vertically integrated corporate enterprises, whether privately- or state-owned, have often accepted losses in the fishing sector, because such losses were compensated by profits in processing and marketing operations.

The amounts of these subsidies (or dissipated economic rents) are not reflected in the above calculations on global costs and revenues. That they are extraordinarily large is indicated in the discussion below with regard to the cephalopod fishery off Morocco and the groundfish fishery off New England.

Such massive recourse to subsidies arises from governments' efforts to preserve employment opportunities in the ship building, as well as the fishing industries and may be a response to the general economic plight of fisheries. However, as the opportunities for an increased catch from fishery resources have declined considerably, a continuation of the high subsidies can only lead to greater and greater economic distress as well as further depletion of stocks.

There is also the assumption that significant quantities of fish are not reported to governments, either as a result of infrastructure weaknesses in the administration of fisheries, with vessels under- reporting their catches in order to circumvent management measures, or as a result of "on the grounds cash sales". Footnote 11



Box 4
The economic consequences of open access

The economic theory of common property natural resources explains why an uncontrolled fishery tends to attract excessive amounts of capital and labour and why it may be fished beyond the point of maximum sustainable yield (MSY), a biologically determined quantity. At different levels of fishing effort (numbers of vessels or fishermen) maintained over the long term, a particular stock of fish will produce different levels of sustainable yields (Diagram 1). The yields increase in response to greater amounts of fishing effort up to the point of msy. For some stocks fishing beyond that point depletes the stock so that subsequent yields are lower than the maximum, although the fishing effort has increased. For other stocks, depletion may not occur so rapidly and the msy can be achieved over a wide range of fishing effort. However, excessive amounts of capital and labour will still be employed.

The total catch curve can also represent total revenues to the fishery on the assumption that varying sizes of catch do not affect average prices received. The total cost curve is shown as a straight line based on the simplified assumption that every additional unit of effort has equal costs.

With open access, the fishery reaches equilibrium when total costs and total revenues are equal (at point E). At any amount of fishing effort below that point, average revenues are greater than average costs, thereby attracting other fishermen into the fishery.

The principle of the economic efficiency suggests that the fishery operate at the point of maximum net revenue (MNR), where the cost of the additional unit of effort is equal to the additional revenue it produces. That is where marginal costs and marginal revenues are equal.

With the extension of jurisdiction, many stocks now come under the sole ownership of a single country. That country, if it wishes, can control the amount of fishing effort through various techniques. Such controls could be used to increase the earnings per fisherman by reducing the number of fishermen. The fact that earnings per fisherman in a fully utilized fishery can be increased over the long term only by reducing or limiting the number of fishermen constitutes the essential dilemma facing fishery administrators.

In many situations, policymakers attempt to increase earnings per fisherman without limiting entry into the fisheries. They may do this by providing price supports or other devices that increase the revenue per unit of fishing effort, thereby raising the total revenue curve as shown in Diagram 2. In the short term, subsidies produce additional profits for the fishermen, attract more fishermen into the fishery, and raise total costs until they reach total revenues again. Average earnings per fisherman decline to their former level but more fishermen are employed (at point A' instead of point A). In some cases, the subsidy may also lead to greater depletion of the stock. It can be noted that a rise in prices, through increased demand, also has the same result. Over a 30 year period in the Alaska salmon fishery, rising prices made it economically feasible for twice as many fishermen to be employed catching half as many fish.

An increase in fuel costs clearly has a negative effect on fisheries but the result, after a period of adjustment, tends to be a drop in employment in the fishery rather than a decrease in average earnings. The increase in costs forces some of the fishermen out of the fishery but as they leave, those remaining increase their average catches and revenues because of reduced competition. The new equilibrium (point E' in Diagram 3) comes with fewer fishermen (at A' instead of A) receiving the same average net earnings as they did before. If the stock is depleted the higher fuel costs could actually lead to higher total catches by removing some of the excessive fishing pressure.

Thus, countries' attempts to protect their fishermen in fully utilized fisheries by subsidizing fuel often serve to maintain employment levels and preserve the excess capacity already in the fishery, as well as supporting high levels of fuel consumption. The introduction of fuel-saving devices and techniques may have the same consequences. Cost reductions and increased profits attract more fishermen and thus increase the use of fuel. Where fisheries are already fully utilized, the most effective technique for reducing fuel consumption is through a reduction in the number of fishing vessels.

In other cases, the cost may be so high (or the prices so low) that the equilibrium point occurs before the point of MSY. Although total levels of catch could increase, a reduction in fishing effort would still be desirable in order to achieve increased net revenues from the fishery.

The diagrams represent typical stylized fisheries but not, of course, all fisheries. In some cases, a fishery may be just developing so that there are opportunities to increase total catches and total revenues at greater rates than those of the increases in total effort and total cost. Many such opportunities are occurring where coastal states can replace foreign fishing effort by developing their own domestic capacity. But even in these cases, the growth in domestic fishing effort should be promoted with restraint so that excess capacity is avoided.

These economic principles have been tested in numerous empirical studies. One example is the yellowtail flounder fishery in the United States where it was found that the net revenue to the fleet could increase from zero to more than $6 million per year by removing 87 to 132 fishing vessels that were fishing¹. However, these principles are based on simplified assumptions that do not accommodate the high degree of complexity existing in most fisheries. Fishermen generally take several different species of fish either simultaneously or at different periods during a season. The species may be interrelated so that the yields of all cannot be maximized at the same time. Yields may also fluctuate widely and, in some cases, may grow or decline in response to shifts in environmental conditions. In addition, economic factors may vary widely over time, as well as among fishermen using different techniques and gear for the same stock. However, although these various elements may obscure or change the timing and significance of the consequences, they do not prevent them from occurring where the condition of open access is left uncontrolled.

Where a coastal state has complete control over a fully utilized stock of value to foreigners but has no interest in developing its own fishing capacity, it can prevent excess effort by levying taxes on foreign fishermen. These taxes deter some foreigners from fishing but those who pay receive greater catches because of the reduced competition.

Where the coastal state has exclusive control over the resource and a fully developed capacity to harvest the stocks, it may have to choose between the alternative objectives of maximizing employment opportunities or maximizing incomes.


¹ J. M. Gates and V. J. Norton. 1974. "The Benefits of Fisheries Regulation. A Case Study of the New England Yellowtail Flounder Fishery". Marine Technical Report No. 21. Kingston, University of Rhode Island, USA. 35 pp.



PRICES

Trends in the real prices of fish are critically important for evaluating the significance of economic scarcity of the resources. However, price information on fisheries remains difficult to acquire and, as a result, there are very few consistent, long-term documents on the movement of fish prices. Estimates of prices received by fishermen have been derived for a few countries (Fig. 11). For these, the real prices of fish generally rose very rapidly during the 1970s: by 80 percent for the United States and Canada and by 60 percent for the United Kingdom. Significant drops occurred in the early 1980s, primarily as a result of large increases in catches, and sharp declines in prices, of cod and haddock during that period. Real prices of all fish species increased again in these countries in the latter part of the 1980s. Overall, the long-term trend is upward. From the base year of 1971, real prices in 1988 were 20 percent higher in Japan, 35 percent higher in the United Kingdom and 75 percent higher in the United States.

Similar documentation is not readily available for other countries. However, the information that is available on prices of individual fish species generally indicates that they are rising more rapidly than prices of other food and non-food products, as well as the costs of fishing inputs. This is to be expected in view of the supply limits of wild fish stocks and the continued increase in demand. Typically, as the yield from a particular species of fish reaches its maximum, prices increase. This induces consumers to substitute other, less known and lower priced species which, in turn, become fished at their maximum levels. Prices continue to increase until reaching levels commensurate with other substitutable products.

To a large extent, the rapid increase in real fish prices in the 1970s and previous years reflected the fact that fish prices were extremely low relative to prices for other sources of animal protein. However, the gap in relative prices is closing and continued increases, particularly for some of the higher valued fish species, may be restrained. For example, increases in the prices of tuna are constrained because of competition in the marketplace with chicken meat.

Other developments are also affecting the movement of fish prices. As noted above, the culture of certain species is producing sufficiently large quantities to affect the markets. In the case of salmon, real prices fell by more than 50 percent between 1988 and 1990 in the United States market. The drop in 1991 was even greater, although it was in response to an abundance of supply from wild stocks. Shrimp prices are also falling as a result of large amounts of cultivation. Several other species are currently being cultivated (e.g. carp and catfish in inland waters; oysters, clams, mussels and other shellfish) while still more are likely to be cultivated in the future. However, the total quantities from aquaculture are still small compared with the global demand for fish.

A different kind of development is the processing of low valued fish into products that substitute for high valued ones. Restructured protein, largely from Alaska pollack, is being formed into products that resemble crab meat.


INTERNATIONAL TRADE

Trade in fisheries has been characterized by buoyancy during the past decades, more particularly during the 1970s. The value of world trade has expanded at an annual rate of about 18 percent during the 1970s and nearly 10 percent during the 1980s. The expansion in exports by developing countries exceeded that of developed countries throughout the past two decades. On the other hand, the slowdown in import growth during the 1980s was significantly more pronounced for developing countries (Table 3 ).

The developed countries have accounted for a very high and constant share of total world imports during the past decades (88 percent of total value in 1970 and 86 percent in 1989). There have, however, been some major shifts among developed countries. Japan's share of the value of total imports rose from 8 to 28 percent, reflecting the decline in its own catch of food fish. The most significant relative drop occurred in the United States (from 25 to 16 percent) reflecting the gains through the extension of jurisdiction and its increased catch on the west coast. While the United States remains a major importer, the EEC is the largest importing region, although its imports include intra-EEC trade.

In the case of Japan, half of the imports in 1989 came from four groups of high-valued species: shrimp, tuna, squid and salmon. In the United States, shrimp make up the largest proportion of imports (29 percent in 1989). In addition, 20 percent is from frozen fish fillets and more than 10 percent from tuna. Between 1980 and 1989 there was a decline of 35 percent in imports of frozen tuna and a five-fold increase in the imports of canned tuna, marking a major shift away from domestic processing, largely to processing in Thailand.

Significant shifts in market share have also occurred on the side of exports. Thailand contributed about 6 percent to the total value of exports in 1989 compared with less than 1 percent in 1970. Shares by the Republic of Korea and the Taiwan, Province of China, also rose significantly, from negligible amounts in 1970 to 5 percent each in 1989. Other changes among exporting countries are the declines in contributions from Peru, Norway and Japan and the increase in that of the United States.

The increase by the United States was almost entirely the result of acquiring jurisdiction over Alaska pollack resources as well as the development of joint venture operations under which United States flag vessels sold their catch over the side to foreign processing vessels. These sales, counted as exports, rose from 400,000 tonnes in 1983 to almost 1.5 million tonnes in 1987 before dropping to less than 400 000 tonnes in 1990 as domestic processing took over.

Overall, the developing countries increased their share of exports between 1970 and 1989 from 32 percent to 47 percent of the total, with major relative increases by China and Chile and Thailand (Fig. 12). Thailand's exports rose from 2 to 13 percent of the total value of developing countries' exports partly because of a dramatic increase in its exports of canned tuna, which rose from 5 000 tonnes in 1981 to more than 225 000 tonnes in 1989. Most of this increase resulted from the processing of imported frozen tuna. Thailand also increased exports of frozen shrimp, mostly produced by culture, by almost four times over the same period. At the same time, Thailand's exports of fish meal declined by more than two-thirds as they were diverted to use in domestic shrimp culture.

China dramatically increased its exports of frozen shrimp, from 22 000 tonnes in 1985 to 120 000 in 1989, which accounted for over half the total value of its fish exports in the latter year. For Chile, the increase came mostly in the export of fishmeal. Although the Peruvian share of developing countries' exports fell from 35 percent in 1970 to 3 percent in 1989 (as a result of the collapse of the anchoveta fishery), together with Chile, Peru accounted for about two-thirds of the total quantity of fish meal exports in 1989.



Legal and Institutional and Environmental Developments

LEGAL, INSTITUTIONAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

In addition to the developments taking place in fishing activities and marketing, there have been several other developments of significance for the sector. These include changes in the law of the sea, in international arrangements for fisheries and in the marine environment.


The law of the sea

After more than a decade of discussions, the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea was opened for signature at the end of 1982. When it was closed for signature at the end of 1984, 159 states had signed it. Among the few members of the United Nations that did not sign the Convention are the United States, the United Kingdom and the former Federal Republic of Germany. As of 31 March 1992 51 states had ratified the Convention, 9 short of the 60 required for the Convention to enter into force. Although the Convention has not yet come into force, many of the provisions relating to fisheries have been adopted unilaterally and can be said to be part of customary international law.

Most important is the extension of national jurisdiction, as mentioned earlier. This occurred during the 1970s through claims to EEZs or to Exclusive Fishing Zones. These claims are generally to 200 nautical miles from shore but in many cases are more narrowly limited because of the proximity of adjacent states. The great majority of these claims were made in 1977 and 1978, when more than 60 states announced their claims.

The generalized extension of jurisdiction has had several effects.Most important has been the provision to coastal states of the authority necessary for effective management of their resources. Even though, at present, only a relatively few states (Australia, New Zealand, Namibia) have used that authority to exercise controls over access to the resources by domestic fishermen, there is an opportunity to do so that did not really exist under the era of freedom of the seas.

A second effect has been the redistribution of the seas' wealth in fisheries. This effect has been of major importance for only about a dozen states.


International arrangements

Adjustments in multilateral arrangements for the management of fisheries have also occurred as a result of jurisdiction extension. During the period of narrow limits of jurisdiction, many regional fishery bodies were created for various purposes, including the acquisition of data; coordination of research; sharing of information; and recommendation of conservation and management measures. In most cases, the bodies included both coastal states and non-coastal states with an interest in the region. They were generally successful, at least initially, in improving the collection of data on catches in sharing information. They provided a general forum for the discussion of issues but were never particularly effective in resolving problems. With a few exceptions they had only limited success in preventing the depletion of stocks and no success in preventing economically excessive fishing efforts.

During the 1970s, as jurisdiction was extended, some regional fishery bodies were abolished. Others changed their functions and methods of operation and new bodies emerged to replace old ones. In general, the FAO bodies continue to operate, although with severely diminished funding in most regions. These bodies attempt to provide fora for the exchange of information and guidance for technical assistance projects.

Non-FAO bodies that have been abolished as a consequence of extended national jurisdiction include the International Commission for the Northwest Atlantic Fisheries (ICNAF) and the International Commission for the Southeast Atlantic Fisheries (ICSEAF). New bodies which have arisen to replace those abolished or to deal with new situations include the Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Organization (NAFO) and the North Atlantic Salmon Conservation Organization (NASCO). Since 1980, other international bodies have been created including the South Pacific Forum Fisheries Agency (FFA).

This body is instructive in several ways. Its superior body, the South Pacific Forum, was created by the South Pacific Islands in order to provide a regional organization with membership restricted to countries of the region unlike the South Pacific Commission whose members include non-local states. The South Pacific Forum created the FFA to facilitate fisheries management, particularly the management of the tuna species that migrate through the extensive EEZs of its members and to provide support to its members in the implementation of management measures.

The FFA has operated relatively effectively in coordinating the negotiations of its member states with the foreign countries whose vessels wish to gain access to the region and also in establishing minimum terms and conditions. It has also established a regional register for fishing vessels. Through these measures, the agency has been able to increase the revenues extracted from foreign fishermen and reduce the costs of surveillance. It is noteworthy that a recent agreement between the Pacific island nations and the United States stipulated that the payment of fees by the United States should cover the total area of the agreement including high sea areas surrounded by the EEZs of the island states. Certain special circumstances have facilitated the work of the FFA. The vast region falls largely within the extended zones of its members who are mostly small states with only limited capacity for tuna fishing and who consequently have much to gain by coordinating their controls over foreign fishermen. Although these conditions do not exist to the same degree elsewhere, some of FFA's approaches might be adopted elsewhere. Eastern tropical Pacific countries, for example, are currently considering the idea of a regional register for foreign vessels.

Generally, the trend over the past two decades has been to increase the strength of coastal states within regional arrangements and to decrease the role of the non-regional states, although attempts to stem this trend are still being made by distant-water fishing countries. Beyond this, it is difficult to discern any generalized developments largely because of the disparities among different regions' situations. There is, however, a general question being raised that may have significant implications for future regional fisheries bodies; that is the degree to which they will acquire authority to govern the use of resources beyond the 200 mile limit. This issue is being raised not only with regard to the high sea enclaves in the South Pacific but also with regard to the "doughnut hole" in the Bering Sea; the Grand Banks in the northwest Atlantic; and the use of drift nets on high sea areas in the Pacific.



Environment

By far the most significant environmental change related to fisheries is the overfishing of stocks. It was estimated more than 20 years ago that an additional 20 million tonnes of catch could be achieved by rehabilitating overfished stocks. Although there are a few instances where rehabilitation has occurred, such gains have been more than counterbalanced by increased depletion of other stocks.

With limited supplies and rising demand, there is an increase in the pressure on fish. Where there are no controls over access to the stocks, individual fishermen have the incentive to intercept stocks at earlier stages in their life cycles which generally occur close to shore and when fish are smaller. Furthermore, the gear used in this competitive race is generally less selective and takes greater quantities of by-catch.

It has been shown above that the 1989 marine catch of 85 million tonnes had a gross value at the fisherman's level of about $70 billion dollars. If management measures are implemented to allow stock rehabilitation, the 20 million tonnes of increased catch that could eventually occur would add more than $16 billion to the gross revenue, ceteris paribus. This estimated foregone loss, however, is only a portion of the economic waste in global fisheries since total world catch could be taken with considerably lower amounts of fishing effort and considerably lower total costs.

Depletion of stocks occurs not only because of overfishing of target stocks but also because of the large by-catches of other species. With a few minor exceptions (e.g. harpoons) all types of fishing gear take other species in addition to those intended. The amounts and kinds of by-catch vary with the kinds of gear. Bottom trawls (particularly for shrimp but also for groundfish in general in coastal areas) are perhaps the most in need of improvement for environmental reasons. In the tropical waters of developing countries, the shrimp taken in trawls may be only 10 to 20 percent of the total haul, with the rest made up of other aquatic species. Most of this is trash fish which may be thrown overboard or sold for fishmeal, for processing into fish paste or as feed for aquaculture operations. Some is sold to low-income consumers. Much of this by- catch is made up of juveniles of species which could be sold at high prices as adults.

Increased intensity in shrimp trawling in the past two decades has led to increases in the proportion of by-catch. Although real prices of shrimp have probably declined in the past two or three years, because of increased production from aquaculture, this has not necessarily led to decreased intensity in trawling since there has been a rise in demand for trash fish for use as feed in aquaculture. In fact, in some countries, shrimp farmers are now investing in trawls with small mesh nets to target trash fish. This is considered a form of "biomass fishing."

Another development in recent years has been the move to areas far from land. Certain species have been fished in the high seas for many years including tuna, salmon and squid. In the last decade, however, some distant-water fleets, facing declining stocks and increasing difficulties and costs in gaining access to EEZs, have increased their efforts in areas beyond 200 miles from shore. Squid and tuna remain major targets but high seas fishing for pollack and horse mackerel is also taking place. The amounts, and associated by-catches, are sufficient to raise issues concerning the management of these high seas resources.

Another pervasive and damaging change in the marine environment has been the increasingly severe degradation of the coastal zone. It has been estimated that two thirds of marine fish production comes from stocks which pass the first, and most vulnerable, stages of their life cycles in coastal areas.

Coastal zone damage is particularly acute in developing tropical countries where both natural and economic conditions contribute to the high vulnerability of these areas. In these countries, the growth in population and the migration to coastal cities and regions are leading to increases in municipal and industrial discharges and landfill, mangrove clearing, coral mining and other construction related damages. In some countries, siltation is becoming severe as a result of deforestation, the construction of lumber roads and land clearing. Intensified agriculture is contributing increasing amounts of pesticides and herbicides to coastal waters.

Intensive forms of aquaculture are themselves source.s of pollution. The release of excess feeds and faeces in semi-enclosed environments has already generated eutrophication problems and oxygen deficiencies which are directly detrimental to farming enterprises. In shrimp farming, the clearing of mangroves, the extensive harvesting of wild larvae and the indiscriminate use of antibiotics to control diseases are negatively affecting other important commercial marine fish stocks.

In addition, certain fishing practices are having severe environmental effects. Such practices include the use of dynamite and poisons as well as techniques in which fish are driven into nets by swimmers pounding the coral reefs with rocks, for example the muro ami fishing in the Philippines. Local populations resort to these highly destructive techniques when faced by increasingly scarce resources and a lack of alternative opportunities for employment.

In the past two decades, the degradation of the marine environment has increased significantly, mainly through exacerbated overfishing and coastal zone pollution. The trend is highly disturbing since fish are one of the major sources of animal protein and of critical importance to the increasing populations in developing countries.



III. Current and Future Issues


Introduction (III.)

The developments of the past decade have significant implications for the future management of fisheries and raise issues with regard to achieving increased benefits from existing resources. Many of the major challenges of the past decade will continue into the future, requiring significantly increased attention in order to prevent continued waste and conflict. Other developments are still emerging and are likely to lead to changes in various elements of fisheries, with positive outcomes in some cases and possibly negative ones in others.


The Fundamental Problem of Open Access

The single most important issue that must be resolved to deal with the current massive waste in fisheries, is controlling open access. The extension of jurisdiction was a necessary, but insufficient, step in this process. Today, open access continues to exist within the common property zones of most coastal states as well as on the high seas.

The consequences of maintaining open access are extraordinarily damaging. As has been pointed out, they include the depletion of marine stocks, the dissipation of economic rents and increased conflict among users.

Conflict often occurs because of the lack of valuation of the resources. In the absence of exclusive use rights, the same stock of fish or same area of the sea can be used by different types of users. Users may be high sea fishermen from different countries or fishermen from different villages, fishing in coastal waters; fishermen using different kinds of gear, such as trawlers and stationary gillnets or traps; they may be people with different values, such as commercial or recreational interests, and fishing or mammal protection interests; or they may be groups using the environment for different purposes, such as waste disposal, coral mining and landfill. Conflicts between the different interest groups are becoming increasingly pervasive and severe.

Several studies of the amounts of rents being dissipated have been carried out on fisheries within national zones. "These estimates show that extraordinarily large economic returns are currently being wasted because of the open access condition, on the order of billions of dollars annually in resource-rich areas." Footnote 12 The losses of $250 million per year in the Moroccan cephalopod fishery have already been mentioned. In the United States, the National Marine Fisheries Service has estimated that the current gross revenue from New England groundfish is about $170 million. With proper management controlling capital investment in the fishery, the gross revenue could be $200 million and the net revenue, which is currently dissipated, could be about $130 million per year, or 65 percent of the gross revenue.

A summary of economic analyses of the amounts of potential or actual rents in Australian fisheries showed that the rents ranged from 11 to 60 percent of the gross revenues, with a weighted average of 30 percent. Footnote 13

Some speculations can be made about the global economic waste in fisheries based on the rough estimates of present costs and revenues and economic rents that might be produced under efficient fisheries management. As discussed in the section Fishing costs and revenues the current total costs in fisheries are estimated to amount to about $124 billion per year, producing a gross revenue in the order of $70 billion per year. Subsidies are presumed to cover most of this deficit. Estimates suggest that proper management of depleted stocks could increase global marine catch by about 20 million tonnes. With stock rehabilitation, gross revenues could rise to $85 billion at current prices. If the ratio of gross revenues to rents in the Australian fisheries is applied, it would mean that the annual resource rents in global fisheries would be about $54 billion per year. Removal of the subsidies of $79 billion per year would produce $55 billion annual global net economic revenues, all of which are currently wasted. This estimate (minus the costs of management) represents the potential global economic benefits that could be derived from the removal of subsidies and the achievement of effective fisheries management.

It should be reiterated that these are rough estimates and are only intended to provide orders of magnitude. It should also be pointed out that nothing has been said about the costs of achieving these rents. These costs include the direct costs of administration, research and enforcement as well as the transaction costs of achieving the necessary adjustments in capital and labour and negotiating agreements among competitive users.

Despite their shortcomings, these estimates clearly indicate that the costs of present mismanagement in fisheries are extremely high. There is an urgent need to address the problems associated with free and open access and review alternative systems of property rights, including exclusive use rights, as are now being applied in a few countries such as Australia and New Zealand as well as the Japanese community-based management system. It is equally urgent to begin placing appropriate values on the resources as a means for facilitating the resolution of conflicts. These interrelated steps are discussed more fully below in the section on Fisheries Management .


Supply and Demand

Resource effects

One of the particularly important characteristics of fisheries is that supplies of most wild stocks are naturally limited. Although the population of any individual stock may fluctuate in response to natural environmental changes at any time, there is a maximum yield that can be harvested on a sustained basis. Increased fishing effort beyond that point does not increase total catch and may, in fact, lead to lower annual yields. Demand for fish products, however, continues to increase as human populations expand and income levels change. The inexorable consequence is a general rise in the real prices of fish, as has been shown. To the extent that fisheries are unmanaged, the rise in prices may even cause a contraction in supply. This would occur if increasing prices were to push fishing effort beyond the point corresponding to the MSY, reducing future fish stocks even further with increased fishing effort.

On the other hand, when fish stocks are effectively managed through systems of property rights, the higher real prices increase the value of the resource itself, with benefits accruing either to the fishermen or to the management agency. In some cases, introducing more effective management leads to increased supplies and hence reduced prices.

Most major fisheries in the world have experienced significant losses in yields due to the depletion of the stocks. The rise in real prices increases the benefits of such measures but, simultaneously, it increases the difficulty of their implementing them because of the incentive it provides to invest in excessive fishing efforts.


Supply increases